Category: Analysis

In the final part of a series of articles on the differences between models and reality, Robert Medeiros examines how changes in the US insurance market could have a big impact on claims when the next hurricane happens.  Catastrophe...

In 2012, Google launched a price comparison site in the UK and last month it launched a similar service in California - with more states to follow. This week Ellen Carney spoke to InsuranceLinked about what this might mean for the industry. Ellen...

The latest Industry Loss Warranty prices from Guy Carpenter indicate that US hurricane rates continued to slip in the first quarter, but recent weeks have shown an upward trend. The cat bond market is also showing signs of rate increases....

In the two years 2004/2005 the US experienced seven 'major' hurricanes. There have been zero in the nine years since then. Early signs indicate that 2015 will be another relatively quiet year. NASA’s Dr. Tim Hall discusses the upcoming...

Last week's announcement that Endurance will be buying Montpelier was the fifth significant reinsurance deal in as many months. Assured Research, an insurance focused research firm, has analysed the data from the last 15 years of...

Data from recent deals indicates that catastrophe bond prices have stabilised over the last 12 months. Has the market finally reached the bottom or is it just pausing for breath? Cat bond spreads fell by close to 50% over two...

In the second of our two part series on terrorism, we spoke to Lloyd Dixon, senior economist at the global policy think tank, RAND. We asked him about the recent changes to the US terrorism insurance legislation, the Terrorism Risk Insurance...

As spies have become more sophisticated, terrorists have had to find new ways to terrorise people. The public has been surprised to discover the extent to which they are spied on by their own governments. But according to Dr Gordon...

The leaders of the global ILS community are braving the New York freeze this week for the annual SIFMA conference. InsuranceLinked will be covering the event in a live blog. Last month was New York's coldest February since 1934....

The sudden burst of M&A activity has dominated the discussions on earnings calls over the last few weeks. Veteran insurance investor, Nick Martin, looks at whether increased scale will be enough for reinsurers to succeed in a challenging...

More reinsurance M&A is forecast for 2015 as traditional players take increasingly radical steps to address the challenging market conditions. Will the combined entities be greater than the sum of their parts? "It’s beginning...

A conversation with the head of Validus Group's fund management business. Validus was established in 2005 during the recapitalisation of the reinsurance industry that followed Hurricane Katrina. It has enjoyed considerable success...

Insurers are anticipating that 2014 will be the most expensive year for the aviation market since 2001 and global air travel is likely to double again by 2030. Could this be an opportunity for the capital markets? Over the last...

On Saturday, global leaders flew home from the World Economic Forum at Davos where they were debating the big issues of 2015. The increasing interconnectedness of global risks was high on their agenda The graphic below shows the...

Catastrophe models are complex but not nearly as complex as reality. A simplistic description of insurance policies limits the accuracy of risk analyses The risk of an insurance portfolio is calculated by taking...

The second part of our review of pricing levels looks at metrics from the January 2015 renewal season and finds that rates are still falling for all types of property reinsurance in every region. Last week's article looked at some...

A quantitative review of how far cat bond returns have fallen We start the year with a two part review of pricing trends in 2014. This week we look at the ILS market. Next week we will examine what has happened in the reinsurance...

Our Christmas quiz and a look back at 2014 2014 was the year that the convergence market converged. Most large insurance companies – and many smaller ones – now use reinsurance and catastrophe bonds interchangeably. In recent...

In just two years (2004-2005) the United States experienced seven major hurricanes. In the nine years since then, not one major hurricane has made landfall in the US - the longest gap since records began. In an upcoming paper, NASA's Dr...

Robert Medeiros predicts some of the things that the models will get wrong when the next US hurricane happens Modern catastrophe models can generate probabilistic loss estimates to the nearest cent, but unquantifiable factors...

ILS funds and reinsurers are struggling to identify opportunities to deploy the current influx of capital but researchers at Cambridge University are having no difficulty in identifying plausible events that could cause trillions of dollars...

Insurance giant, Travelers, has issued $1.55 billion of catastrophe bonds since 2007 to help reduce its hedging costs. Veteran insurance investor, Nick Martin, finds that while reinsurance rates have fallen dramatically in recent years, the...

This week sees the second ILS Convergence event get underway in Hamilton, Bermuda. InsuranceLinked will be covering the event in a live blog. Billionaire Roman Abramovich seemed to be going to extraordinary lengths to get a ticket...

Reinsurers and ILS funds are increasingly gloomy as they struggle to see what could save them from further rate deterioration. But this is not the first time that the industry has faced seemingly hopeless market conditions. We look back...

The second part of our conversation with Goldman’s Global Head of Structured Finance In the first half of his interview with InsuranceLinked, Michael Millette shared his views on the relative value of reinsurance funds compared...